The Epoch Engine.
Probability is simple. The ego is complex. Overcome your cognitive biases by steel-manning the opposition.
The Conjunction Fallacy (The Linda Problem)
Scenario 1/5Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice. Which is more probable? A: Linda is a bank teller. B: Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement.
A is more probableB is more probable
Locked (Scenarios 2–5 require Pro)